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2024-12-13 18:22:50

European Central Bank: It is estimated that the GDP growth rate will be 0.7% in 2024, 1.1% in 2025, 1.4% in 2026 and 1.3% in 2027. (It is expected to be 0.8%, 1.3% and 1.5% respectively in September) It is estimated that the core inflation rate will be 2.9% in 2024, 2.3% in 2025 and 1.9% in 2026. (It is expected to be 2.8%, 2.3% and 2.0% respectively in September) It is estimated that the core inflation rate will be 1.9% in 2027.Western Securities and others set up a parent fund management partnership with a capital contribution of 2 billion yuan. According to Tianyancha APP, recently, Xiaogan Xizheng Gaochuang Industrial Investment Parent Fund Management Partnership (Limited Partnership) was established with a capital contribution of 2 billion yuan. Its business scope includes: private equity investment fund management, venture capital fund management services, etc. Tianyancha's equity penetration shows that the enterprise is jointly held by Western Advantage Capital Investment Co., Ltd., a wholly-owned subsidiary of Western Securities, and Xiaogan Gaochuang Investment Co., Ltd.The Bank of Japan's short-term survey may show that business confidence has hardly changed. It is reported that the short-term survey released by the Bank of Japan on Friday may show that the mood of large manufacturers has remained almost unchanged in the last quarter under the influence of complex signals such as the recovery of the automobile industry and concerns about the global economic slowdown. Economists surveyed by data provider Quick predict that the prosperity judgment index of large-scale manufacturing industry will be +12, compared with +13 in the last survey. The survey is closely watched for clues about the decision of the Bank of Japan at its meeting next week. If it shows strong capital expenditure plan, high inflation expectation and tight employment situation, it may support the idea of raising interest rates early.


Blinken arrived in Jordan to attend an emergency meeting on Syria. It is reported that US Secretary of State Blinken arrived in Jordan on Thursday to attend an emergency meeting on Syria. Blinken will meet with Jordanian Foreign Minister Assafadi and King Abdullah.ECB: Financing conditions are relaxing, ECB: Financing conditions are relaxing. However, because monetary policy is still restrictive and past interest rate hikes are still being transmitted to the credit stock, financing conditions are still tightening. Inflation prospect, core inflation and its transmission will determine the interest rate path.Traders' interest rate expectations for the European Central Bank remain stable: it is expected to cut interest rates by 127 basis points in 2025.


Vassilis, a foreign exchange strategist, quickly commented on the ECB's resolution: the euro fell to a new low because the ECB gave up the "restrictive policy" part of the statement, but this does not mean that the policy language is downright dovish. Bonds in the euro zone are in a moderate trend.Xiaomi Jingming's business scope has added sports event planning business. Tianyancha App shows that recently, Xiaomi Jingming Technology Co., Ltd. has undergone industrial and commercial changes, and its business scope has added business training, sports event planning and sports competition organization. Xiaomi Jingming Technology Co., Ltd. was established in July 2023. The legal representative is Liu Lingdi, with a registered capital of 100 million RMB, which is wholly owned by Xiaomi Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd.Analyst: The interest rate of the European Central Bank will be pushed to the low end of the neutral range. Marchel Alexandrovich, an economist at Saltmarsh Economics, said that the European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points again, which is the fourth time in this easing cycle. The monetary policy statement reiterated that the Committee would not commit to a specific interest rate path in advance. However, the new forecast shows that the core inflation rate is 1.9% in 2026 and 2027, which indicates that interest rates may continue to push to the low end of the neutral range.

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